Buying Gold | China Goes Dark: PBOC To Keep Goldbugs Clueless About Its <b>Gold</b> <b>...</b> | News2Gold |
China Goes Dark: PBOC To Keep Goldbugs Clueless About Its <b>Gold</b> <b>...</b> Posted: 21 Apr 2014 10:02 AM PDT One of the more perplexing divergences that have plagued precious metal watchers and goldbugs when it comes to the great "black box" that is the world's biggest buyer of gold in recent years - China (which overtook India after that particular country established unprecedented capital controls to block the import of gold) is that on one hand China has been allowing the outside world to glimpse its ravenous buying of gold through the Hong Kong-Shenzhen corridor (where nearly 70% of the Chinese gold jewellery business is located) since Hong Kong customs provides a full breakdown of how much gold it exports into China, yet on the other the PBOC has refused to update its official gold holdings in exactly five years. Recall that it was Zero Hedge who before anyone else in September 2011 disclosed not only what the reasons were for China's historic, and largely under the radar, gold buying spree - namely that while consumer demand for gold would rise, it was mostly the Chinese central bank that was the origin of China's seemingly endless demand. We got tangential confirmation as much when in January Shanghai Daily reported the PBOC was expected to announce its gold holdings have "more than doubled." Of course considering China's official gold inventory is a paltry 1054 tons, this would hardly surprise anyone at this point. So now that everyone is breathing down the PBOC's neck to finally reveal - with a five year delay - just how much gold it does hold, the Chinese central bank has done a U-turn on its indirect transparency and, as Reuters reports, has begun allowing gold imports through its capital Beijing, sources familiar with the matter said, "in a move that would help keep purchases by the world's top bullion buyer discreet at a time when it might be boosting official reserves."
But are about to get much, much bigger. In a nutshell, going forward China can continue importing hundreds of tons monthly, but without Hong Kong being the main transit route and without its monthly export updates, nobody will have a concrete number of just how much gold China is importing.
Finally, with a five year delay, the PBOC has finally woken up not only to the data disclosure...
... but the discrepancies:
Which goes back to the original question: just how much gold does the PBOC own, and what other catalyst is it waiting for before it provides the much anticipated update:
One thing is certain: it is only a matter of time before China does reveal how much additional gold its has bought since April 2009, the date of its last official update. One other thing that is certain: the PBOC (and everyone else who has been piggybacking on this trade) has been able to buy up thousands of tons of physical gold at cheap prices not only due to the relentless manipulation of paper gold prices by central banks and their market proxies, but also by China itself: recall that it was Zero Hedge that first explained "How China Imported A Record $70 Billion In Physical Gold Without Sending The Price Of Gold Soaring." In short, it had to do with gold's domiannt role (more so than copper) in Chinese financing deals, in which physical is bought in the spot market while gold futures are sold at the same time. And since the physical gold would likely remain in China no matter what (likely transferred over to satisfy consumer demand), we suggested that the imminent unwind of various Chinese gold-backed funding deals, in addition to any reports out of the PBOC, would further add to the upward pressure on gold once financing deal intermediaries, were forced to cover their forward market shorts. In either case, what the latest news out of China means is that what happens to gold once it enters the Chinese economy, where it is used not only as a simple commodity store of value, and money (much to the chagrin of the Chairmanwoman) but also as a major component of the carry-trade enabled gold financing deals, will be even more nebulous and an even bigger mystery than ever before. Just as the gold accumulating central bank wants it. Still, if there is one thing that gives us comfort, it is that as we reported over the weekend, when it comes to the ordinary person on the street, the demand for physical, not paper, gold is higher than ever. It is only a matter of time before this demand finally manifests itself in the manipulated price as well. (19 votes) |
China Moves To Conceal <b>Gold Buying</b> | InvestmentWatch Posted: 21 Apr 2014 04:20 PM PDT http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-04-21/china-goes-dark-pboc-keep-goldb… China is moving to further obscure what little knowledge the world has about how much gold it is buying. This is one of the signs Rickards mentions in The Death Of Money and makes perfect sense if China is building up its reserves without causing the price to shoot up. I can't think of a more powerful reason to keep converting Federal Reserve notes into money (gold)!! The next time China announces its official holdings (last time was in '09), the announcement will cause gold to gap up significantly on world markets and may lead to extreme turmoil in world financial markets. That will be too late to start buying gold for your own survival. Rickards asserts the US is helping China keep the gold price down while it converts tertiary wealth into gold so the world can move to a new monetary system in which gold is a central part and China is fairly represented. China won't be fairly represented until gold is a much larger portion of its reserves than it currently is (at least by official statements). Once China has "enough" gold, the trap will be sprung and whoever is not positioned at that moment will be crushed and left behind. The excellent work of gold researchers, often cited here on PP, indicates China will "soon" have "enough." Anyone else like me keeping their ear to the ground waiting for an unexpected Sunday evening press conference to announce the outline of the new monetary system? That's what FDR and Nixon did and it makes perfect sense to announce the changes over the weekend (preferably on Sunday evening) when markets are closed and you can catch the sheeple and the unimportant nations off-guard. Banks and markets may be closed the next day (Monday) or TPTB may leave them open until they crash and then close them. It could all be over, except the crying, within hours or at most a few weeks. Bankruptcies, bail-ins, gold gapping up to $9,000/oz, massive layoffs, etc. "Welcome to the Hunger Games. And may the odds be ever in your favor." |
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