8 January 2014 - 专家：西方央行所剩黄金成疑 持有黄金是好选择 |
- 8 January 2014 - 专家：西方央行所剩黄金成疑 持有黄金是好选择
- 8 January 2014 - Chinese Gold Demand Strong At Start Of 2014
- 8 January 2014 - 金价一年跌3成 销量平均涨5成
| 8 January 2014 - 专家：西方央行所剩黄金成疑 持有黄金是好选择 Posted: 08 Jan 2014 03:02 AM PST From:http://gold.jrj.com.cn/2014/01/08165916469310.shtml 人类历史上黄金是早于纸币出现的货币，而纸币的出现背后都有着黄金作为支撑，直到20世纪70年代布雷顿森林体系被推翻，金本位结束。自此之后，货币变成了由信用背书。 当一个系统被建立在信用上时，一切交易都基于对对方的信任和判断，而所有人都有一个交易对方，即政府，美国国债就是个很典型的例子。 美国目前的国债总量已经超过1971年是GDP的两倍，而GDP本身也在被信用推高。任何人借钱消费都会出现在GDP中。 黄金是有限的，但这样的信用却是无限的，这给了人们更多的消费能力，GDP上涨，就业率上涨，价格上涨。 但一旦信用系统出现问题，花费过多，就会陷入糟糕局面。因此很多政府仍然会有大量黄金存储作为保证。 英国广为人知的在20世纪90年代末，也就是金价维持在20年来低水平的时候出售了大量黄金，这被认为是非常愚蠢的行为。而对于美国的黄金储备，则有非常多的怀疑。 Sprott Asset Management首席执行官Eric Sprott此前曾宣称："西方以外国家的央行都在非常快速的增持黄金，从2009年第一季度的6300吨增加到2013年第一季度的8200吨。而与此同时，实物黄金存量则从2013年起有快速减少，实物黄金需求很稳定。" 过去十年可以说是黄金供应量和销售间有矛盾的十年，Sprott认为在过去十年，售出的黄金远多过被开采出的黄金。而结论就是这些被供应的黄金中，很多来自各国央行，他们宣称自己拥有黄金，但却在悄悄的卖出黄金。那么十年过去了，这些央行还有多少剩下的黄金呢？ 在过去十年黄金价格大涨中售出黄金或许是聪明的选择，但在信用系统有遭遇困难时，问题就来了。因此，持有黄金或许是最好的选择。 Source:http://gold.jrj.com.cn/2014/01/08165916469310.shtml |
| 8 January 2014 - Chinese Gold Demand Strong At Start Of 2014 Posted: 08 Jan 2014 03:00 AM PST From:http://www.forbes.com/sites/kitconews/2014/01/07/chinese-gold-demand-strong-at-start-of-2014/ (Kitco News) – Chinese gold buying has noticeably picked up at the start of 2014, helped by softer prices and the approach of Chinese New Year holidays, traders and analysts said. The premium in China has risen to $20 an ounce, perhaps $10 higher than a week ago, said Bernard Sin, global head of precious metals trading with MKS (Switzerland) SA. "That is an indication that demand is relatively healthy," he said. He also cited good demand in Hong Kong and Thailand. MKS: Chinese Physical Gold Demand Remains Strong Gold Market To Eye India In 2014 For Any Changes On Import Rules Joni Teves, analyst with UBS, said volume on the Shanghai Gold Exchange picked up significantly lately, with combined turnover for the two gold contracts around six-month highs. They reached 34 metric tons Monday and averaged 24 tons over the first few business days of 2014, compared to an 18-ton average in December, she said. "The increased activity in China is consistent with typical seasonal patterns, as we head closer to the Chinese New Year at the end of the month," she said. "The dip in prices towards the end of 2013 likely encouraged a pickup in physical buying and therefore a further drawdown on existing stocks." The decline in bullion prices over the last couple of years is part of the impetus for the buying, Sin said, also citing a move by the Chinese industry to build gold stocks ahead of Chinese New Year celebrations. On the last day of 2013, gold nearly fell back to its June lows that in turn were the weakest levels since the summer of 2010. Gold was down nearly 40% from the 2011 peak. One issue for the Chinese industry, Teves added, is fresh import licenses needed for 2014. With Chinese New Year festivities earlier this year, the time between getting the quotas in place and shipping metal is limited. With the Chinese demand, the physical market likely would tighten significantly if India were to relax some of the rules limiting gold imports, Sin said. Indian authorities instituted a number of measures in 2013 in an attempt to curb gold imports and reduce the country's current-account deficit. They raised duties on gold imports several times; they currently stand at 10%. Also, a so-called 80-20 rule that stipulates that a minimum of 20% of all gold imported must be exported before further imports can be made. "If the India market would open, there will be a shortage of supply," Sin said. "For the time being, the supply is just enough to feed the Chinese market and (the rest of the) Asian market." Analysts with HSBC, in a late-Monday research note to clients, said Indian authorities are reportedly in discussions on reducing the import duties on gold and relaxing regulations limiting imports. News reports say while the rules have curbed official gold imports, there also has been an increase in smuggling. "The return of India as a greater importer would be gold friendly but it is still not clear when, or even if, the authorities will cut the tariffs on gold," HSBC said. Source:http://www.forbes.com/sites/kitconews/2014/01/07/chinese-gold-demand-strong-at-start-of-2014/ |
| 8 January 2014 - 金价一年跌3成 销量平均涨5成 Posted: 07 Jan 2014 04:58 PM PST From:http://gold.hexun.com/2014-01-06/161175726.html 昨天，辽宁省服务业委发布统计数据显示，元旦期间，全省金银珠宝类销售额平均增幅高达50%以上。同时，上个周末，沈阳市民买金热情依然不减，金店营业额普遍超过千万元。 国际金价持续下滑 圣诞和元旦双节期间，沈阳市场掀起一股猛烈的购金热潮。平安夜当晚，位于中街的所有金店店铺，几乎家家爆满，而且足金价格更是低至3年前的259元/克。一边是市民疯狂买金，一边是金价持续下跌。去年1月1日，国际金价以1673.04美元/盎司开盘，到今年1月2日以1216.90美元/盎司收盘，一年来，国际金价跌幅已经将近3成。 业内人士分析，导致2013年黄金下跌不止的主要因素是美元走强。 市民购金势不可挡 这个周末，中街上的几家金店里，消费者依然是满满当当的。在某连锁金店购买生肖属相挂件的李女士说："眼看就要过春节了，每年过年，我都给孩子买点儿金饰品，既当作礼物，也算是投资。没想到前几年买的都贵了，今年打算买个克数重的，把之前的成本勾一勾。" 目前，沈阳有的金店已经将千足金的价格下调到280元/克，这个价格已经与2010年6月份的价格差不多。如此便宜的价格，让沈阳市民纷纷抢购黄金。据了解，多数金店在上个周末的销售额，都突破了千万元大关，甚至有的金店投资金条的销量在这两天总计超过100公斤。 预计今年金价上调 从2013年进入2014年，国际黄金的价格出现了自1981年以来的最大年度跌幅，而且结束了长达12年的牛市行情。业内人士分析认为，今年国际黄金的价格有可能会翻身，而不是直接步入熊市。 辽银黄金分析师认为，今年上半年，市场将继续关注美联储如何彻底退出量化宽松政策，但金价再创新低的可能性较小。目前来看，1200美元起到一个"临界点"的作用，该价格濒临黄金开采成本，已构筑成多头中长期支撑的防线，今年再度下破的概率不大，投资者可在该区域附近进行中长期操作。 沈阳晚报、沈阳网记者 谷丽红 |
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