Buying Gold | <b>Buying Gold</b> "A Bet Against the US Economy" | Gold News | News2Gold |
| <b>Buying Gold</b> "A Bet Against the US Economy" | Gold News Posted: 15 Jan 2014 02:47 AM PST Buying gold losing urgency say analysts, as Goldman Sachs tips short sale... BUYING GOLD is essentially a bet against the US economy continuing to recover, says analysis from the head of commodities research at investment bank Goldman Sachs, Jeffrey Currie. "Our view really is driven by the expectation of the US economy reaching escape velocity," he told CNBC on Monday, again recommending investors sell instead of buying gold. Because "when you think about a short [sale, profiting from lower prices] on gold, it's essentially just a bet on a substantial recovery in the US economy." Concurring with Currie's view at Goldman Sachs, HSBC Private Bank also said Tuesday that the US economic recovery is set to continue, weakening the case for buying gold in 2014. "Many of gold's supports gradually dissipated throughout [2013]," notes HSBC, pointing to more tapering of the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program in 2014. "Indeed, growth and monetary policy divergences are like to materialize between the US and the rest of the world, supporting gradual US Dollar strength." While a higher Dollar would be an "added obstacle to higher gold prices," says HSBC, it would also make gold more expensive for consumer in emerging economies, potentially denting demand. French investment and bullion bank Natixis, in its latest 2014 outlook for commodities, says that "as the US economy gradually returns to normal, so US interest rates will continue to rise," reducing appetite for buying gold by worsening the loss of potential income from cash or fixed-income investments. Asked whether a US recovery won't stoke inflation, spurring a return to buying gold by investors. "We're still below trend and growing," says Goldman Sachs' Jeffrey Currie. "Once we get above trend, [only] then you start to get some scarcity in the economy, then you can create inflationary pressures."  |
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