21 July 2014 - Gold gets a safe haven boost on Russia-Ukraine tensions |
- 21 July 2014 - Gold gets a safe haven boost on Russia-Ukraine tensions
- 21 July 2014 - Price of Gold Today Surges on Malaysian Flight Crash News
- 21 July 2014 - Gold holds above $1,300 as geopolitical risks eyed
- 21 July 2014 - 刘宇翔：地缘政治主推黄金大幅震荡
| 21 July 2014 - Gold gets a safe haven boost on Russia-Ukraine tensions Posted: 21 Jul 2014 06:05 PM PDT 20 Jul 2014 LONDON (Commodity Online): Gold has received a safe-haven boost on Russia-Ukraine tensions after falling below $1300 per ounce on dollar strength and weaker yields as measured by US 10 year Treasuries. Barclays said in a weekly report that "while much of Gold's near-term price performance will depend on how the situation unfolds, the longer-term macro, investor, and physical demnad trends remain in tact and we think the goldl will eventually realise downside risks." Gold exchange traded funds outflow have largely been stemmed thus far this year and although they may have lent support to prices, this may ot be sustain on bounce between outflows and infows. Net speculative positioning in COMEX Gold has continued to rise in recent weeks with last week capping off a more than one-month streak of increasing net speculative positioning. "In summary, investor demand has been strong lately, but we would cautioin against interpreting this as a longer-term change in investor sentiment," Barclays said. In the physical market, gold smuggling continues in India, as the Directorate of Revenue Intelligence has been handed the task of investigating continued smuggling through select airports in the country (Reuters). Barclays said that smuggling may not slow down in the near term, as the Indian government chose to keep import restrictions unchanged in the recent fiscal budget. That said, restrictions could be eased later this year, but this is not likely until a concrete improvement in the current account deficit becomes evident. In China, demand, as proxied by trading volume on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, seems to be holding relatively steady with the rolling monthly average remaining stable."In our view, any future strength in physical demand will be unlikely to tame weakness elsewhere." |
| 21 July 2014 - Price of Gold Today Surges on Malaysian Flight Crash News Posted: 21 Jul 2014 06:03 PM PDT From:http://moneymorning.com/2014/07/17/price-of-gold-today-surges-on-malaysian-flight-crash-news/ By TARA CLARKE, Associate Editor, Money Morning · July 17, 2014 The price of gold today (Thursday) skyrocketed when news of more geopolitical tension hit headlines. The safe-haven investment tends to see gains when fear arises. Around 11:30 a.m. EDT, it was reported that a Malaysia Airlines passenger plane en route from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur crashed in Torez, Ukraine this morning, about 25 miles from the Russian border. Preliminary reports say the plane may have been shot down by Russia, or by Ukrainian separatists. Interfax-Ukraine quoted a Ukrainian official who said the plane disappeared from radar when it was flying at 33,000 feet (10,000 meters), according to The Telegraph. The plane carried 295 passengers. National Journal reports that the separatists have denied responsibility. "We do not have any idea what this is about and who shot down the plane. We're heading there now to investigate everything independently," pro-Russian Ukrainian rebel group Donetsk People's Republic's co-chair Tatyana Dvoryadkina said to Gazeta, a Russian newspaper. U.S. Senator John McCain (R-Ariz.) commented to MSNBC with strong words. "If it is a result of either separatist or Russian actions mistakenly believing this was a Ukrainian war plane, I think there's gonna be hell to pay and there should be," McCain said. The spot gold price shot up 1.3% at $1,316 an ounce. August gold futures gained $9 an ounce at $1,309. "Some investors are buying gold as the Middle East region is very tense," R.J. O'Brien & Associates senior commodity broker Phil Streible said in a telephone interview with Bloomberg. "We have been seeing an increase in the safe-haven premium since the violence in Ukraine started." Other geopolitical tensions are also sending the price of gold higher today. On Wednesday, U.S. President Barack Obama announced "significant and targeted" sanctions against Russia for its lackluster efforts in diffusing conflict in Ukraine. The same day, Ukraine accused the Russians of shooting down one of their attack planes. Additionally, Middle East tensions in Iraq, and between Gaza and Israel, are also driving up gold prices today. Our expert recently told readers when is the right time to buy gold - and in what amount... The remaining gold investing analysis is reserved for Money Morning Members only. Source:http://moneymorning.com/2014/07/17/price-of-gold-today-surges-on-malaysian-flight-crash-news/ |
| 21 July 2014 - Gold holds above $1,300 as geopolitical risks eyed Posted: 21 Jul 2014 06:00 PM PDT From:http://www.cnbc.com/id/101851418 Gold steadied above the $1,300 an ounce support level on Monday, aided by anticipation of increased geopolitical risks as the United States began demanding answers from Russia after a Malaysian plane was downed in eastern Ukraine. Spot gold was little changed at $1,311.64 an ounce by 0302 GMT, after dropping 0.5 percent on Friday. Trading volumes were thin as Japanese markets were closed. The metal jumped 1.4 percent on Thursday when news of the downed Malaysian plane that killed 298 people on board first came to light. But investors quickly banked profits the following day, causing bullion to fall 2 percent for the week, its first weekly drop in seven. "Despite the slide in the last session, there is enough safe-haven demand to keep prices just above $1,300," said one trader in Singapore. "There are no signs of tensions subsiding either over the Malaysian place incident or the Gaza strip, so gold will continue to see some safe-haven bids." U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry laid out what he called overwhelming evidence of Russian complicity in the shooting down of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 as international horror deepened over the fate of the victims' remains. Anger is mounting over the plane incident. Australia's prime minister expressed deep concern that Russian-backed rebels remained in control of the crash site, saying the site looked more like a "garden clean-up" than a forensic investigation. Meanwhile in the Middle East, Hamas's armed wing said on Sunday it had captured an Israeli soldier, as fighting in Gaza led to the bloodiest losses in a nearly two-week military offensive, with some 100 Palestinians and 13 Israeli soldiers killed. AP Gold steadied above the $1,300 an ounce support level on Monday, aided by anticipation of increased geopolitical risks as the United States began demanding answers from Russia after a Malaysian plane was downed in eastern Ukraine. Spot gold was little changed at $1,311.64 an ounce by 0302 GMT, after dropping 0.5 percent on Friday. Trading volumes were thin as Japanese markets were closed. The metal jumped 1.4 percent on Thursday when news of the downed Malaysian plane that killed 298 people on board first came to light. But investors quickly banked profits the following day, causing bullion to fall 2 percent for the week, its first weekly drop in seven. Read MoreTechnician calls for $700 gold "Despite the slide in the last session, there is enough safe-haven demand to keep prices just above $1,300," said one trader in Singapore. "There are no signs of tensions subsiding either over the Malaysian place incident or the Gaza strip, so gold will continue to see some safe-haven bids." U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry laid out what he called overwhelming evidence of Russian complicity in the shooting down of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 as international horror deepened over the fate of the victims' remains. Read MoreThe real reason Yellen's comments sent gold lower Anger is mounting over the plane incident. Australia's prime minister expressed deep concern that Russian-backed rebels remained in control of the crash site, saying the site looked more like a "garden clean-up" than a forensic investigation. Meanwhile in the Middle East, Hamas's armed wing said on Sunday it had captured an Israeli soldier, as fighting in Gaza led to the bloodiest losses in a nearly two-week military offensive, with some 100 Palestinians and 13 Israeli soldiers killed. In a measure of investor sentiment, SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings rose 1.8 tons to 805.14 tons on Friday. Speculators, however, cut bullish bets on gold futures and options in the week to July 15 for the first time in six weeks as prices tumbled. Among other precious metals, palladium was trading near its highest since 2001 on possible supply worries that could emanate from stricter sanctions on the top producer of the metal, Russia. Anglo American will unveil on Monday its plan to dispose of its oldest South African platinum mines, a move that would reduce the global miner's staff count by a fifth of its total workforce, the Sunday Times reported |
| 21 July 2014 - 刘宇翔：地缘政治主推黄金大幅震荡 Posted: 21 Jul 2014 05:57 PM PDT From:http://gold.hexun.com/2014-07-21/166832154.html 2014-07-21 16:12:44 来源：和讯网 行情回顾： 上周国际金价以1338.67开盘，报收1319.30，最高上试11339.38美元，最低下探1291.92美元，较上个交易周下跌27.79美元，上涨2.08%，周K线继续收出一根带下影线的中阴线。全球上最大的ETF-SPDR持仓量增加1.49吨，从CFTC公布的持仓报告看，上周投机性多头增加12545手，投机性空头增加21381手。 基本面： 上周最受市场瞩目的当属美联储主席耶伦在国会的证词。耶伦证词显示，美国经济复苏进程仍未完成，就业市场仍在遭受苦痛折磨，且工资增长陷入停滞状态，这表明美联储在可以预见的未来继续实施宽松政策仍旧是合理之举。同时，如果美国的通货膨胀和就业市场数据继续改善，加息可能比市场的预期更早，这也把相关的数据与加息联系到一起。尽管耶伦态度倾向鸽派，但弱势的美元仍然是美国人复苏经济的必备品，因此，在经济复苏达到强劲之前，美联储恐怕不会轻易抛出加息这一钓饵。经济数据上，美联储褐皮书报告显示，所有地区的经济增长与劳动力市场都有所好转，价格压力普遍受到抑制，一些地区报告称价格攀升。美国季调后工业生产环比增长0.2%，6月的消费者开支以适度至温和的速度增长。美国6月PPI环比增长0.4%。受到以上数据的支撑影响上周美元指数继续稳步回升，对金价形成沽空影响。 上周四晚间马航航班MH17在乌克兰近俄乌边境被导弹击中后坠落。该客机从阿姆斯特丹飞往吉隆坡，上面载有280名乘客和15名机组人员，295人全部遇难。乌克兰政府与分裂势力相互指责对方击落客机，俄罗斯媒体暗示导弹或瞄准普京飞机。马航客机在乌克兰被击落引发市场恐慌，欧美股市下挫，标普500创三个月最大日跌幅，恐慌指数VIX暴涨。此。 截至发稿为止，距离马航客机坠毁事故数日已过，但国际观察团仍然迟迟不能实地勘察灾难情况。欧美阵营认定事故系亲俄反叛势力所为，并向俄罗斯在通力合作上发出最后通牒，恐怕新一轮制裁会提前到来。美国国务卿克里坚持认为，俄罗斯是马航MH17客机被导弹击落事件的合谋，说有压倒性的证据可证明。英法德三国上周六警告，限俄罗斯在本周二以前保证空难调查员进出所有事发现场，否则对俄采取进一步制裁。美国似乎认定，应当将马航客机坠毁事故归咎于乌克兰境内的亲俄分离势力，欧洲方面则对美国这方面的意志随声附和。这样一来，欧美阵营恐怕会加速宣布对俄罗斯的新贸易制裁措施，哪怕在马航坠机事故上仍然缺乏确凿证据。 本周行情分析： 上周一国际现货黄金大幅回落，走出两根大阴线，周四由于马航17被击落，金价大幅反弹，金价围绕MA320上下穿梭，现众均线均已走偏，显示目前行情震荡的可能性加大，预计本周金价维持在1325-1290之间震荡。不会有太大的波动。 |
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