11 July 2014 - Minat Investasi Emas Meningkat |
- 11 July 2014 - Minat Investasi Emas Meningkat
- 11 July 2014 - India central bank seeks to swap gold to improve reserves quality
- 11 July 2014 -Gold Rises to 16-Week High as Portugal Spurs Haven Buying
- 11 July 2014 - 天时地利人和 黄金依旧看涨
| 11 July 2014 - Minat Investasi Emas Meningkat Posted: 13 Jul 2014 09:26 PM PDT From:http://www.suaramerdeka.com/v1/index.php/read/news/2014/07/11/209056/Minat-Investasi-Emas-Meningkat- 11 Juli 2014 | 02:16 wib SEMARANG, suaramerdeka.com - Minat masyarakat Semarang untuk berinvestasi emas semakin meningkat. Menjelang Lebaran, transaksi investasi emas meningkat hingga 25% dibanding bulan biasa. ''Kenaikan transaksi terutama pada investasi emas non fisik hingga sebesar 25% dari bulan lalu. Menjelang Lebaran, banyak masyarakat yang berinvestasi emas non fisik,'' kata Regional Director PT Valbury Asia Futures Robi Thera saat kegiatan buka puasa bersama di Hotel Quest, belum lama ini. Tren investasi emas, kata dia, relatif bagus ditunjang harga emas yang terus meningkat. Masyarakat banyak yang memilih berinvestasi emas karena tren harga cenderung naik dan tidak pernah turun. Tiga bulan lalu harga emas mencapai sekitar Rp 479 ribu per gram. Diperkirakan menjelang Lebaran nanti harga emas bergerak naik hingga Rp 500 ribu per gram. Dikatakan Robi, investasi emas fisik juga banyak diminati. Menjelang Lebaran nanti transaksi emas batangan bisa meningkat hingga 70%. Sehabis mendapatkan Tunjangan Hari Raya (THR) sebagian besar masyarakat membelanjakan uang lebihnya untuk berinvestasi. Di Semarang, nasabah PT Valbury terus mengalami peningkatan hingga 25% per tahun. Tercatat, jumlah nasabah mencapai 120 nasabah aktif.Sampai akhir tahun, ia menargetkan penambahan jumlah nasabah dan transaksi hingga 50% dari tahun lalu. Selama masa Pemilu Presiden (Pilpres) kondisi investasi terutama bursa berjangka, menurut dia, tidak terlalu berpengaruh. Antusiasme investor untuk berinvestasi di bursa berjangka cukup tinggi. Rata-rata volume transaksi bursa berjangka di Semarang mencapai 5 ribu lot per bulan. Sepanjang empat bulan terakhir ini, mengalami peningkatan hingga 25%. Sementara itu, menurut Pemimpin Wilayah PT Pegadaian (Persero) Kantor Wilayah XI Semarang, Endah Susiani, investasi logam mulia kini semakin diminati masyarakat. Transaksi emas batangan itu terus meningkat setiap tahun. Emas menjadi strategi investasi yang mudah dan terjangkau bagi berbagai kalangan. ''Banyak masyarakat mulai membeli logam mulia untuk investasi. Hal ini karena nilai emas tidak terpengaruh krisis ekonomi atau inflasi sehingga menjadi sarana untuk menjaga daya beli masyarakat. Apalagi, logam mulia mudah dijual bila sewaktu-waktu membutuhkan,'' kata dia. Peningkatan minat masyarakat terhadap emas, turut mendongkrak nilai transaksi di Pegadaian. Ia menargetkan transaksi logam mulia tahun ini bisa terus meningkat. Tercatat, realisasi transaksi logam mulia Pegadaian pada 2012 mencapai Rp 43,5 miliar. Transaksi semakin tumbuh sebesar Rp 61,8 miliar di 2013.Pertumbuhan transaksi logam mulia pada tahun lalu mencapai 142% dibanding 2012. Tahun ini, ia menargetkan transaksi logam mulia bisa mencapai Rp 350 miliar. Menjelang Lebaran, transaksi logam mulia diyakini terus meningkat hingga 25%. Source:http://www.suaramerdeka.com/v1/index.php/read/news/2014/07/11/209056/Minat-Investasi-Emas-Meningkat- |
| 11 July 2014 - India central bank seeks to swap gold to improve reserves quality Posted: 13 Jul 2014 09:23 PM PDT From:http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/02/india-cenbank-gold-idUSL4N0PD3QY20140702 By Suvashree Dey Choudhury and Siddesh Mayenkar MUMBAI, July 2 (Reuters) - India's central bank said on Wednesday it has sought quotes from banks to swap gold in its own vaults for international-standard gold, aiming to improve the management of its reserves. The Reserve Bank of India said the operation would "standardise the gold available with RBI in India with respect to international standards" and the gold acquired would be delivered to its overseas custodian, the Bank of England. By holding gold reserves in London, the RBI would gain flexibility to mobilise them if needed to defend the currency. It shipped some of its gold holdings to Britain in 1991 as part of a series of emergency measures to tackle a financial crisis. Under the leadership of Governor Raghuram Rajan, appointed last year, the RBI has sought to modernise its market operations and improve the management of gold and foreign currency reserves that are worth a total of around $315 billion. According to the World Gold Council, India holds the 11th-largest gold reserves of 557 tonnes. At current market prices, they would be worth nearly $24 billion. It was not immediately clear how much of that would be swapped. "RBI, in consultation with the government, would decide further in regard to quantity, swap-ratio, timing etc. of the gold to be swapped," the RBI said in an emailed response to questions from Reuters. The Economic Times reported earlier that the RBI had sounded out bankers on a plan to swap some of the old, relatively impure, gold that has been lying in its own vaults since before independence in 1947. MORE SUPPLIES Market participants said the central bank was likely to offload its old gold onto the local market in India. That would have the beneficial effect of boosting domestic gold supply without hitting India's current account - which faces renewed pressure as the conflict in Iraq has pushed up India's oil import bill. The current account deficit had touched a record high of 4.8 percent of gross domestic product in 2012/13. "It's a good move by the RBI, this will at least ease the stock requirement of the jewellery industry," said a senior official with a foreign bank that supplies gold to India. "Once the stock gets into the market, premiums will come down, and smuggling would be less profitable," said the source, who declined to be identified as he was not authorised to speak to media. Premiums may fall to $5-10 an ounce on London prices, from the current $25, when new supplies come to the market, said Kumar Jain, vice-chairman of Mumbai Jewellers Association. The central bank imposed the import restrictions last year in a successful bid to contain a balance of payments crisis, but the unintended result has been a large increase in gold smuggling into India, the world's second largest consumer of the precious metal after China. Part of India's consumption was met through illicit imports. The WGC reckons that 200-250 tonnes of gold have been smuggled into India since the imposition of import controls. Only 2.5 tonnes of smuggled gold - or 1 percent of the estimated total - have been seized by law enforcement agencies. The move comes just over a week before Finance Minister Arun Jaitley unveils his first budget, in which he faces a challenge to curb state borrowing after a two-year slowdown in growth. Jaitley is also battling inflation amid a food price scare and delays to the planting of summer crops resulting from a weak monsoon. At times of high inflation, many Indian households take refuge in gold to protect the value of their savings. Source:http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/02/india-cenbank-gold-idUSL4N0PD3QY20140702 |
| 11 July 2014 -Gold Rises to 16-Week High as Portugal Spurs Haven Buying Posted: 13 Jul 2014 09:22 PM PDT By Debarati Roy and Nicholas Larkin Jul 11, 2014 Gold futures climbed to a 16-week high as banking concerns in Portugal and a slump in equities boosted demand for the precious metal as a haven. In Portugal, Banco Espirito Santo SA bonds plunged to records after a parent company delayed debt payments on short-term notes, fueling concern that the euro region remains vulnerable to financial shocks. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index of U.S. shares fell as much as 1 percent. Gold has climbed 11 percent this year, outpacing gains for indexes of commodities, equities and Treasuries. Investor holdings in exchange-traded products backed by the metal have rebounded this month as turmoil spread in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Palladium, platinum and silver extended rallies. "Equities are getting hammered, and we are seeing a flight to safety," Frank Lesh, a trader at FuturePath Trading LLC in Chicago, said in a telephone interview. "Concerns about Europe are coming back to the forefront." Gold futures for August delivery rose 1.1 percent to settle at $1,339.20 an ounce at 1:35 p.m. on the Comex in New York. Earlier, the price reached $1,346.80, the highest for a most-active contract since March 19. Trading was 48 percent higher than the 100-day average for this time, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Ukraine targeted separatists near Donetsk with air strikes, killing about 50 fighters, as the European Union prepared to expand sanctions in response to the pro-Russian violence that has rocked the country since March. Israel is mobilizing 20,000 soldiers for a possible ground invasion of the Gaza Strip to halt rocket bombardments. Fed Stimulus Last year, gold slumped 28 percent, the most since 1981, amid an equity rally to a record and speculation that the Federal Reserve would taper U.S. monetary stimulus. The metal climbed 70 percent from December 2008 to June 2011 as the Fed bought debt and cut borrowing costs to near zero percent. Global holdings in gold ETPs have climbed to a two-month high, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Assets in products backed by platinum and palladium rose to records this month. Palladium futures for September delivery advanced 0.1 percent to $873.60 an ounce on New York Mercantile Exchange. The price reached $877.75, extending a rally to the highest since February 2001. Russia is the world's top source of the metal. Supplies were disrupted because of a five-month mining strike that ended in late June in South Africa, the biggest producer of platinum and the second-largest for palladium. Platinum futures for October delivery rose 0.7 percent to $1,517 an ounce on the Nymex. The price reached $1,523.80, the highest since Sept. 4. Silver futures for September delivery climbed 2.1 percent to $21.508 an ounce on the Comex. The metal reached $21.63, the highest since March 17. Today, silver and gold were the top gainers in the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index of 22 prices in energy, metals and agriculture. The gauge fell to a 20-week low as grain and livestock futures dropped. |
| Posted: 13 Jul 2014 09:21 PM PDT From:http://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/20140711/011919669990.shtml 2014年07月11日 01:19 中国证券报-中证网 □顶金贵金属 张强 贵金属短期的下跌符合市场发展趋势，可以把此阶段理解为市场的调整和蓄势阶段。待各项因素准备充足后，黄金(1334.10, -3.30, -0.25%)价格还会选择合适的契机再次走强，因为后市诸多金融环境支持黄金价格未来走强的趋势，所以黄金未来走势依然令人乐观。 天时 在经历了金融危机和各类风险事件后，国际黄金与避险属性的关联性越来越紧密。说到避险，首先应该明白黄金天然是货币，其最根本的作用是在突发金融环境下，来抵抗货币危机所产生的风险，这也是为什么在2008年金融危机后黄金价格会迅速上涨的一个重要因素。这里的货币主要指美元，因为美元在全球的金融环境下起到了至关重要的作用，而黄金价格与美元又有着极深的负相关关系，所以关注美元将是我们把握贵金属市场走势的重要依据。 金融危机以来美国方面实施了一系列的货币宽松政策，大量的资金被流放到金融市场。而美元作为世界货币，受到了各国投资者的青睐，就这样美国超额印刷的美元其实留在本国量并不多，大比例的都流散到了全球各地，这才使得美国境内的通胀水平维持在低位。在通胀水平没有上涨的前提下，黄金的抗通胀性就没有办法突显，而金融危机后的美国经济开始慢慢复苏，市场资金更愿意将流向美元资产，自然流入黄金市场的资金就会减少，在没有充足资金的支撑下，黄金价格保持低迷也是情理之事。 但随着金融危机时间的远去，世界经济也有了较好的恢复，市场乐观情绪开始积累，以黄金为代表的贵金属使用价值也开始慢慢突显。同时贵金属的整体价格相对处于低位，对于投资而言有了更大的优势，这样就会吸引更多的资金回流贵金属市场。当前世界宽松政策风行全球，通胀率上升将不可避免，再加之每年夏秋之季是传统的黄金销售期，从7、8月开始，金价就会逐步走强，根据时间周期来看，近期黄金有望得到企稳，后市上涨概率将逐步增大。 地利 纵观全球经济，美国作为全球唯一的超级大国，虽然其经济有了不错的恢复迹象，但依旧存在诸多不确定性因素。再有就是，近几年局部地区地缘政治危机愈演愈烈，自然灾害等不可控因素也频频发生，这些都会导致市场情绪的波动。在投资过程中，人们首先考虑的就是资金安全，而黄金得天独厚的抗风险性，将成为投资者钟情的投资品对象。 以美国、英国、日本为代表的量化宽松政策还在继续，欧央行[微博]又开始筹划推进欧式的量化宽松政策，这样一来将会使得更多的资金流入市场，纸币的实际使用价值将会进一步减弱，随着各国货币政策的持续，社会通胀率上升将不可避免，在黄金抗通胀的属性优势下，届时金价自然也会水涨船高。 人和 亚洲人对黄金有着溢于言表的钟爱之情，无论是印度还是中国都表现了对实物金的喜爱。尤其是在去年一战成名的中国大妈，让中国黄金的声音在世界的舞台上声名鹊起，中国藏金于民的政策使得国民投资黄金的意识明显提升，同时对黄金的需求也是处于不断增长阶段。再加之经过前期金价的持续下跌，黄金价格近乎回归合理投资区间，待市场情绪逐步稳定后，亚洲的实物金买盘也将为国际金价上涨的有力支撑。 Source:http://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/20140711/011919669990.shtml |
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