Silver prices | Gold And <b>Silver Prices</b> Enter Weak Month According To Seasonality <b>...</b> |
Gold And <b>Silver Prices</b> Enter Weak Month According To Seasonality <b>...</b> Posted: 01 Jun 2014 12:59 PM PDT The statement in the title of this article is not meant to make a forecast or any forward looking statement. The point is that, based on seasonality, June is traditionally the weakest month of the year. The two charts show seasonlity of the gold price and silver price over the last 30 years. Dimitri Speck is the author of the charts (courtesy of SeasonalCharts). His analysis is based on 30 years of data. The gold price, according to the seasonal pattern, is likely to hit the year's bottom in the weeks ahead. Chances are high that a rally will ensue in the months ahead. Silver has a similar seasonal pattern till June. As of July, however, the rally has not been as strong as in gold. Interestingly, the authors at GoldCore looked at past year's performance in gold and silver. The above-mentioned charts cover 2012 but not 2013. GoldCore writes: "Gold saw massive concentrated selling in April and further weakness in May – from $1,476/oz to $1,386/oz. Then June saw gold fall again, from $1,386/oz to the $1,200/oz level at the end of June which marked the end of the 2nd quarter, 2013. Gold then bounced sharply in July and August prior to giving up some of those gains in September, trading sideways in October and then trading lower in November and December prior to the what appears to be the second bottom – exactly at year end 2013." So the seasonal pattern has held last year. Based on the May closing of this year, it looks like gold and silver in 2014 will be no exception. Furthermore, interesting to note is that Dimitri Speck also measured the volatility over a time span of 37 years. If past is prologue, than we can expect a higher volatility in June when compared to the last few weeks. See following charts from SeasonalCharts.com. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gold, <b>Silver</b> Drop in May; US Mint Coins Mixed | Coin News Posted: 31 May 2014 11:16 AM PDT Gold prices declined for a fifth straight session to end at a new four-month low, sinking 3.5% for the week and 3.9% for the month. Gold for August delivery on Friday dropped $11.10, or 0.9%, to settle at $1,246 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The settlement price was the lowest since gold closed at $1,239.80 an ounce on Jan. 31.
Gold's 3.9% monthly loss was the worst of the year. Gold prices gained 0.9% in April, fell 2.9% in March, surged 6.6% in February, and jumped 3.1% in January. Gold has increased $43.70, or 3.6%, since ending 2013 at $1,202.30 an ounce. Gold Outlook Majority participants in the latest Kitco News survey are bearish about gold prices next week. Eighteen participants expect prices to trade lower, 7 see prices rising and 2 see prices trading sideways or are neutral. Kitco News reports that:
Participants were divided in last week's survey by Kitco. Silver, Platinum and Palladium FuturesSilver also extended its losing streak to five sessions, and plummeted 3.8% for the week and 2.6% for the month. On Friday, silver for July delivery lost 33 cents, or 1.8%, to close at $18.68 an ounce. Silver prices turned down on the year as a result of this week's declines. The white metal is off 3.6% from the 2013 close of $19.37 an ounce. PGM futures split on Friday and for the week but climbed in May. In the Friday and weekly breakdowns:
In May, gains tallied to 1.7% for platinum and 2.9% for palladium. For the year so far, platinum has jumped 5.7% and palladium has soared 16.4%. London Fix Precious MetalsLondon precious metals fixings were mixed. When comparing the London bullion fix prices from Wednesday PM to Thursday PM:
For the week, palladium climbed 1% while the other metals registered declines of 3.2% for gold, 2.2% for silver and 1.3% for platinum. Monthly gains totaled 2.8% for platinum and 4.1% for palladium while monthly losses tagged in at 2.9% for gold and 1.5% for silver. US Mint Bullion Sales in MayWhile U.S. Mint bullion figures for May are not likely to change, the bureau has not officially closed the month out. CoinNews.net will later publish a more detailed analysis but as the numbers stand now:
Below is a sales breakdown of U.S. Mint bullion products with columns listing the number of bullion coins sold on Friday, last week, this week, last month, in May, and the year-to-date.
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