24 March 2014 - 白银后期上涨力度大于黄金 多头做好风险控制

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24 March 2014 - 白银后期上涨力度大于黄金 多头做好风险控制 Posted: 24 Mar 2014 03:12 AM PDT From:http://gold.hexun.com/2014-03-24/163300150.html 2014年03月24日08:20 来源：金投网 克里米亚公投的结果周一(3月17日)已昭然若揭，得到莫斯科支持的克里米亚领导人宣布，公投中有96%的人支持退乌入俄.但西方阵营与之针锋相对，称这次公投非法，并将立即采取制裁行动。克里姆林宫周二(3月18日)表示，俄罗斯总统普京已批准使克里米亚成为俄罗斯一部分的条约草案，确认俄罗斯计划将乌克兰南部地区纳入俄罗斯。克里姆林宫称普京将与克里米亚领袖签署条约。俄美政府发表声明表示，奥巴马与普京均认为存在外交解决这场冷战以来最严重东西方关系危机的选项。 上周四(3月20日)凌晨的FOMC会议宣布，将每月购买国债和抵押贷款支持证券(MBS)的规模从650亿美元减至550亿美元。继续缩减刺激举措的决定，符合前任主席伯南克(BenBernanke)提出的"慎重有序退出路线"。美联储主席耶伦在政策会议结束后的记者会上表示，可能今年秋季结束购债，然后再过"大约六个月"之后就可能开始加息。在媒体问及，耶伦称缩减量化宽松(QE)按照当前步调将在今秋终结，而此后至加息的"相当长"一段时间到底有多长？耶伦说，通常情况下指的是6个月，不过一切都要取决于届时经济的状况。耶伦表示，不再将失业率6.5%作为决定何时升息的指引，并不代表美联储的政策意图发生了变化。美联储表示，将参考一系列广泛的指标来决定升息时间。她还表示，决策者将不只观察通胀率和失业率距离美联储目标有多近，而且还将观察那些指标接近目标速度的快慢。 白银方面，现货白银上周展开较大跌幅，周内下跌300点左右，周线级别跌破均线支撑同时收盘未能站上均线系统，短线显弱，白银技术面上有超跌反弹需求，大趋势上，目前白银价格处于4浪C调整，调整目标在3970附近，伴随着银价下跌走势追空风险逐步加大，4369就是跌破前期3620的高点，后市白银价格有望突破4500点，相反白银价格只有跌破3820支撑中期才会转为跌势，目前白银价格A浪4369-4060=309，AC可能等长，那么可以简单预测C浪低点在4292-309=3983，该处极有可能将是拐点，白银当前走势略显弱势，但转强的话笔者认为后期上涨力度将大于黄金，这样将通过时间将二者空间进行同步，另外目前白银大C浪下跌走，4浪有可能发展为三角调整，一旦往这个方向发展，趋势多头将要做好一定的风险控制。 Source:http://gold.hexun.com/2014-03-24/163300150.html

24 March 2014 - Top 10 nations stockpiling gold Posted: 24 Mar 2014 03:09 AM PDT From:http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2014/03/22/wall-st-cheat-sheet-nations-gold/6709493/ Eric McWhinnie, Wall St. Cheat Sheet 12:03 p.m. EDT March 22, 2014 Discussions involving gold hoarders tend to generate images of the stereotypical nervous Nellie hiding out somewhere in the wilderness. Uncivilized and irrational, they count their so-called barbaric stacks of gold, which are located next to a lifetime supply of canned goods. While this portrayal may be amusing, the biggest hoarders of gold are some of the most advanced nations in the world. Last year, global gold demand reached 3,756.1 tonnes or metric "tons" -- nearly 3.8 million kilograms, or 8.3 million pounds. That amount is valued at $170 billion, according to the World Gold Council. Demand was down from the prior year due to heavy outflows in exchange-traded funds and similar products, but bar and coin demand surged 28% year-over-year as investors still had an appetite for hard assets. GOLD: Will it prove investors wrong this year? INVESTOR FEAR: Market crash coming? DIVIDEND STOCKS: Underrated options for your portfolio With gold prices posting their first annual loss in more than a decade, central banks around the world purchased 368.9 tonnes of gold in 2013, above the five-year average of 282.6 tonnes. Let's take a look at the ten nations with the largest gold reserves, based on the latest international financial statistics and the WGC. 10. India India officially holds 557.7 tonnes of gold, which represents 7.6% of its reserves. In 2009, the nation purchased 200 tonnes of gold from the International Monetary Fund for $6.7 billion. It was the IMF's first such sale in almost a decade. India is the second-largest gold consumer in the world, and also a big believer in silver. India is home to the tenth-largest economy in the world but consumes more silver than any other country. In 2013, India imported an estimated 5,400 tonnes of silver, according to Endeavour Silver. That is more than double the 1,900 tonnes imported in 2012 and higher than the recent peak of 5,049 tonnes imported in 2008. Of the world's annual silver production, India consumes more than 20%. 9. Netherlands With a large economy in relation to its population, the Netherlands holds 612.5 tonnes of gold, which represents 52.6% of its reserves. In 2013, a citizens committee in the nation filed a petition demanding the central bank release information about the Netherlands gold hoard, including the storage location. It is estimated that the majority of the nation's stockpile is held abroad. 8. Japan After two decades of low interest rates, it's not too surprising that Japan has one of the largest gold reserves in the world. The nation holds 765.2 tonnes of gold, representing only 2.4% of its reserves. Interestingly, the Japanese yen and gold became a well-known investment pick for 2014. Kyle Bass, founder of Hayman Capital, recently said that if he could only put on one trade for the next ten years it would be to purchase gold in yen. 7. Russia Russia holds 1,034.7 tonnes of gold, which represents 8.3% of its reserves. Russia has more than doubled its gold reserves in recent years and is likely to keep buying. In 2011, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin claimed the United States was "like a parasite" on the global economy and said the dominance of the dollar as a world reserve currency is a threat to the financial system. In 2013, Russia's central bank added 77 tonnes of gold to its official reserves. 6. Switzerland The land of international banking holds 1,040.1 tonnes of gold, which represents 7.8% of its reserves. Some citizens feel very strongly about gold. Last year, the Swiss People's Party collected enough signatures to force a referendum on a proposal to prevent the nation's central bank form selling any of its gold reserves and require it to hold at least 20% of its assets in the precious metal. 5. China The world's second-largest economy holds 1,054.1 tonnes of gold, which represents only 1.1% of its reserves. However, this underestimates China's true holdings. The People's Bank of China has not formally disclosed any changes to its gold holdings in years, and it's widely believed that the central bank is purchasing gold to diversify its reserve holdings. In 2009, China announced that it boosted its gold reserves by 454 tonnes via acquiring gold quietly over the previous five years. It represented an impressive 76% increase in gold reserves. Today, China is estimated by gold analysts to have around 2,000-3,000 tonnes of gold reserves. Meanwhile, consumer demand for gold in China exceeded expectations and set a new record of 1,065.8 tonnes in 2013, topping India's 974.8 tonnes. 4. France France holds 2,435.4 tonnes of gold, which represents about 64.3% of its reserves. The nation has been relatively quiet in the gold market, but six men were arrested in Paris and surrounding areas for involvement in stealing gold bars worth about 1.6 million euros from an Air France plane. On September 19, the gold was stolen from the plane shortly before it left Paris's Charles de Gaulle airport. The plane was bound for Switzerland. 3. Italy During the depths of the eurozone crisis, some analysts recommended that Italy use its gold stockpile to raise funds and restore confidence. However, the nation still holds 2,451.8 tonnes of gold, representing 65.9% of its reserves. 2. Germany Much like Italy, speculation suggested that Germany might ultimately use its gold reserves to boost the European bailout fund, but this never materialized. Germany holds 3,387.1 tonnes of gold, which represents 67.1% of reserves. At the beginning of 2013, Germany's Bundesbank confirmed reports and announced that it will repatriate a portion of its foreign gold reserves. Over the next seven years, the central bank intends to store half of Germany's gold reserves in its own vaults within the country, compared to only 31% now. The other half will remain in New York and London. In a press release, the central bank explained said, "With this new storage plan, the Bundesbank is focusing on the two primary functions of the gold reserves: to build trust and confidence domestically, and the ability to exchange gold for foreign currencies at gold trading centers abroad within a short space of time." 1. United States Despite ending the gold standard in 1971, the world's largest economy holds 8,133.5 tonnes of gold, representing 71% of reserves. On August 15, 1971, President Nixon made the following statement that gold bugs will remember forever. "In recent weeks, the speculators have been waging an all-out war on the American dollar. The strength of a nation's currency is based on the strength of that nation's economy — and the American economy is by far the strongest in the world," he said. "Accordingly, I have directed the Secretary of the Treasury to take the action necessary to defend the dollar against the speculators. I have directed Secretary Connally to suspend temporarily the convertibility of the American dollar except in amounts and conditions determined to be in the interest of monetary stability and in the best interests of the United States." Source:http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2014/03/22/wall-st-cheat-sheet-nations-gold/6709493/

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