10 January 2014 - Gold Gains First Time in Four Days on Increased Physical Demand

Posted: 10 Jan 2014 08:08 PM PST

From:http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-09/gold-little-changed-as-fed-minutes-boost-tapering-expectations.html

Gold rose for the first time this week on speculation that demand for bars, coins and jewelry increased and as investors awaited a U.S. jobs report tomorrow.

The U.K.'s Royal Mint said it ran out of 2014 Sovereign gold coins as lower prices spurred demand. Futures fell 1.1 percent in the past three sessions. The price tumbled 28 percent last year, the most since 1981, after some investors lost faith in the metal as U.S. growth rebounded.

"Demand for gold coins and bars was very strong last year on account of the falling prices, a trend which appears to be continuing at the start of the year," Commerzbank AG analysts including Frankfurt-based Daniel Briesemann said in a report.

Gold futures for February delivery added 0.3 percent to settle at $1,229.40 an ounce at 1:51 p.m. on the Comex in New York.

Earlier, prices dropped as much as 0.2 percent. A U.S. government report showed jobless claims in the U.S. fell by 15,000 to 330,000 in the week ended Jan. 4, signaling an improving economy and lower demand for bullion as a store of value.

Labor Department figures tomorrow are projected to show the world's largest economy added more jobs in 2013 than at any point in the past eight years.

"The market is waiting for tomorrow's numbers," Frank McGhee, the head dealer at Integrated Brokerage Services in Chicago, said in a telephone interview. "There is some physical demand at lower prices."

Minutes of the Federal Reserve's December meeting released yesterday showed some officials saw diminishing economic benefits from purchasing debt.

Silver futures for March delivery gained 0.7 percent to $19.683 an ounce on the Comex.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, palladium futures for March delivery declined 0.2 percent to $736.50 an ounce. Platinum futures for April rose 0.4 percent to $1,419.90 an ounce, the first gain in three days.

Source:http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-09/gold-little-changed-as-fed-minutes-boost-tapering-expectations.html

10 January 2014 - 基金经理：对2014非常乐观 2月金价有上行压力

Posted: 10 Jan 2014 08:05 PM PST

From:http://gold.jrj.com.cn/2014/01/10141116484859.shtml

新加坡知名基金经理人、Vulpes贵金属基金组合投资经理Grant Williams接受采访时，提到了一项将令黄金市场震惊的因素，他认为这将摧毁空头信心。

Williams是新加坡备受尊崇的基金经理人，在当地享有盛名。

交割大月将给金价带来上行压力

"黄金目前的（技术面）格局向好，但还需要突破一些关键点位，"Williams声称，"如果金价能够站上1250，短线技术面将会非常乐观。在该水平上方，黄金将会获得买盘的亲睐。"Williams在采访中表示，"我们必须对1180价位保持警惕，如果跌破该水平，料有很多追空卖盘，并且将给技术形态带来很大损害。不过实物需求重新升温，在度过了糟糕的2013年之后，我对2014年相当乐观。"当被问及对金价账面价格和实物需求的对抗时，Williams用图表加以回答。他声称，"这张图以前从无人问津，但未来将会到无人不晓。我们可以看到，在COMEX金库里面，每1盎司黄金背后，有超过80位主人。然而，真正的灾难不会在1月发生，因为2月才是交割大月。"

Williams猜测道，"我想等到2月份再来看这张图片的变化令人期待。COMEX库存的压力毫无疑问会大增。但问题是现在实物黄金短缺，要想获得必选提高价格。我预计黄金价格上涨将会迎来迫切的压力。"

黄金流向东方=永远不再出售

资深交易员Ron Rosen在贵金属市场中摸爬滚打已经将近60年。此前他曾表示，"西方国家对黄金发动的'战争'是自毁根基。"

对此，Williams表示赞同。他声称，"人们习惯称黄金是货币。其实黄金是财富，真正的财富。在东方，收藏黄金不单单是习俗，也是因为大家意识到黄金比纸币保值。因此黄金从西方流向东方将形成一股潮流。"

他补充道，"如果西方央行仅仅在一段时间内放任自流，那问题不大。但若长此以往，他们将后悔也来不及。"

以黄金ETF为例，我们经历了超过500吨的清算。这是一个非常令人吃惊的数字，过去4年流入ETF的黄金，在1年就被完全消化。我们可以看到的只是亚洲国家黄金进口数字再飙升。

几乎所有主流媒体就将此解读为超级熊市的信号。但Williams告诉我们，"这些黄金再也没有回到西方，它们去了一个不会被卖出的地方。换言之，这些黄金从市场上消失了（供应减少）。"

他声称，"这对于拥有大量杠杆化空头的人来说，是非常恐怖的一件事。德意志银行（Bundesbank）开始收回实物黄金储备的信号足以给市场敲响警钟。一旦当更多类似德意志银行的实体，开始紧张实物黄金的去向，那将是金价彻底逆转的信号。"

Williams预计，"金价可能会上涨到5000美元/盎司，但市场总是充斥着贪婪，因此价格可能会上浮到7、8000美元/盎司，具体谁也不好说，但可以肯定的是，绝对不止1200美元/盎司。"

Source:http://gold.jrj.com.cn/2014/01/10141116484859.shtml

10 January 2014 - Gold Gains First Time in Four Days on Increased Physical Demand

10 January 2014 - Gold Gains First Time in Four Days on Increased Physical Demand

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